Value Creation for Trade Business Owners
What makes a trade business valuable — even if you never sell. Learn how PE firms evaluate HVAC and plumbing companies and what increases multiples.
Run your business as if you’re selling it tomorrow — even if you never will. Value creation is about building a business worth something.
This isn’t about planning your exit. It’s about building a business that’s worth something — to you, to buyers, and to your family.
Most trade business owners have built something valuable but couldn’t sell it if they tried. The business depends on them. The financials are messy. The systems live in their head. No buyer would pay a premium for that — they’d be buying a job, not a company.
The discipline of exit readiness makes your business stronger, more profitable, and less stressful regardless of whether you ever sell. It forces you to build the kind of company that can run without you, that generates consistent results, and that creates real enterprise value.
This is what PE firms do immediately when they acquire a business. They install the systems that create value. You can install those systems yourself — and capture that value for yourself.
The Valuation Reality
Let me show you what your business might be worth in today’s market.
Current Multiples (2025-2026)
| Business Type | Size / Stage | Typical Multiple |
|---|---|---|
| HVAC (small, owner-dependent) | <$1M EBITDA | 3-4x EBITDA |
| HVAC (mid-size, managed) | $1-5M EBITDA | 6-10x EBITDA |
| HVAC (platform-ready) | Multi-location | 10-12x+ EBITDA |
| Plumbing (small) | Owner-operator | 2.5-4.5x SDE |
| Plumbing (larger) | Platform-ready | 5-8x+ EBITDA |
The range is enormous. A business doing $500K in EBITDA could be worth $1.5M (at 3x) or $4M (at 8x). Same revenue. Same profit. Massive difference in value.
What makes the difference?
The Owner Independence Premium
Here’s the most important factor:
| Characteristic | Typical Multiple |
|---|---|
| Owner-dependent business | 3-4x EBITDA |
| Owner-independent business | 7-8x+ EBITDA |
That’s not a small difference. That’s a 2-4x premium for businesses where the owner isn’t essential to daily operations.
Why? Because when a PE firm acquires an owner-dependent business, they’re buying a risk. If the owner leaves and the business falls apart, they’ve just destroyed their investment. That risk gets priced into the multiple.
When the business runs without the owner, the risk disappears. The buyer knows they’re getting a machine, not a job.
Owner Independence: The Ultimate Test
Here’s the test PE firms use:
Can the business run profitably for 90 days without the owner present?
Not “survive” — run profitably. Make money. Serve customers well. Maintain quality.
Most trade businesses fail this test immediately. The owner is the one who:
- Handles the biggest customers personally
- Approves every significant decision
- Solves every complex problem
- Is the face of the company
- Knows where everything is
If that’s you, your business isn’t worth as much as you think. You haven’t built a company — you’ve built a job with employees.
Signs of Owner Dependence
- You handle key customer relationships personally
- You approve every significant decision
- You’re the only one who can solve complex problems
- Your personal brand IS the company brand
- The financials don’t make sense without your explanation
Signs of Owner Independence
- A leadership team makes operational decisions
- Customer relationships are owned by the company, not you
- Documented processes exist for all key functions
- Financial reporting happens automatically
- Business performs consistently regardless of your involvement
The path from dependence to independence is what we’ve been building throughout this book. Roles. Systems. Processes. Decision rights. The office machine. Cash flow discipline. Org design.
All of it creates owner independence.
At Office OS, this is what we install for our clients — the operational infrastructure that lets the business run without the founder. It’s not just about reducing stress (though it does that). It’s about building real enterprise value.
Clean, Defensible Numbers
Buyers pay for certainty. Messy financials create uncertainty.
What Buyers Want to See
Three years of financial statements — Not just tax returns. Proper financial statements showing revenue trends, margins, and profitability over time.
Accrual-based accounting — Not cash-basis. Accrual accounting shows when revenue was earned and when expenses were incurred, not just when cash moved.
Clean separation of personal and business — If your truck payment, phone, and hunting trips are all mixed into business expenses, buyers will discount your numbers.
Documented adjustments — Any add-backs (owner salary above market, one-time expenses) need documentation and explanation.
Defensible margins — If your margins are way above industry average, be ready to explain why. If they’re way below, be ready to explain how they’ll improve.
The Quality of Earnings Analysis
When PE firms do due diligence, they hire accountants to perform a “Quality of Earnings” (QoE) analysis. This digs into:
- Are the add-backs legitimate?
- Is the revenue real and recurring?
- Are there related-party transactions that inflate numbers?
- How is revenue recognized?
- What’s the customer concentration risk?
If your books can’t survive this analysis, your deal either falls apart or you take a significant haircut on price.
Clean Financials Even If You Never Sell
Even if you’re not selling, clean financials help you:
- Get better loan terms
- Make better decisions (you see reality clearly)
- Identify problems early (revenue by service type, margin by job)
- Pay appropriate taxes (not more, not less)
- Sleep better (no IRS anxiety)
Repeatable Performance
Buyers pay for predictability. They discount volatility.
A business that did $800K, $1.2M, $600K, $1.1M over four years is worth less than one that did $900K, $950K, $1.0M, $1.05M — even if the average is similar.
Why?
Volatility suggests the business depends on things outside its control: one-time projects, seasonal swings, economic conditions, or luck. Predictability suggests the business has systems that produce consistent results regardless of external factors.
What Creates Repeatable Performance
Diversified customer base — No single customer is more than 10-20% of revenue. Losing any one customer doesn’t tank the business.
Diversified revenue streams — Mix of service, replacement, and install. Service provides stability; replacement and install provide growth.
Recurring revenue — Service agreements, maintenance contracts, memberships. Revenue that renews automatically is worth more than revenue you have to re-earn every day.
Consistent marketing — Steady lead flow, not feast-or-famine marketing that creates spiky demand.
Scalable operations — Adding capacity doesn’t require the owner to work harder.
Recurring Revenue Premium
Businesses with strong recurring revenue command premium multiples:
| Business Type | Without Recurring | With Strong Recurring |
|---|---|---|
| HVAC | 3-4x EBITDA | 6-8x+ EBITDA |
| Plumbing | 2.5-3.5x | 4-6x+ |
A service agreement program that generates $300K/year in recurring revenue might add $1-2M to your enterprise value. That’s the math PE firms do.
Documented Operating System
Value should live in the system, not in people’s heads.
This is a continuation of Chapter 9 (Organizational Design), but it bears repeating from a valuation perspective.
When a buyer looks at your business, they ask: “If the key people leave, does the business still work?”
If your dispatch system lives in your dispatcher’s head, the answer is no. If your pricing is based on the owner’s judgment, the answer is no. If your customer relationships are all with one person, the answer is no.
What Should Be Documented
Operations
- How calls are answered and scheduled
- How jobs are dispatched and managed
- How invoicing and collections work
- How technicians are trained and supervised
Sales
- How leads are generated
- How estimates are presented
- How follow-up is handled
- How pricing is determined
Finance
- How invoices are created
- How AR is collected
- How AP is managed
- How reporting works
HR
- How hiring works
- How training happens
- How performance is managed
- How compensation is structured
The test: Could someone who doesn’t know your business follow your documentation and produce acceptable results?
What Increases Your Multiple
Here’s a summary of what PE firms pay premiums for:
| Factor | Impact on Multiple |
|---|---|
| Owner independence | +2-4x premium |
| Strong recurring revenue | +1-2x premium |
| Clean, auditable financials | Baseline requirement |
| Customer diversification | Risk reduction |
| Management team in place | Exit de-risking |
| Documented systems | Operational continuity |
| Geographic density | Efficiency premium |
| Growth rate | Future value |
What Destroys Value
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Owner dependence | -2-4x discount |
| Customer concentration | Significant discount |
| Key person risk | Discount or deal-breaker |
| Messy financials | Extended diligence, haircut |
| No recurring revenue | Lower multiple |
| Volatile performance | Uncertainty discount |
| Pending legal/compliance issues | Deal-breaker |
The Valuation Formula
A simplified way to think about it:
Business Value = EBITDA × Multiple
Where Multiple depends on:
- Owner independence (most important)
- Recurring revenue percentage
- Growth rate
- Customer diversification
- Quality of management team
- Quality of financials
- Market conditions
Exit Readiness Even If You Never Sell
You might never sell your business. That’s fine. But the discipline of exit readiness creates value regardless.
Better profitability — Clean financials reveal waste. Systems create efficiency. You make more money.
Less stress — You can take a vacation. You’re not the single point of failure. Emergencies don’t require your immediate attention.
Better team — Management team development creates a stronger company. People grow. You attract better talent.
Faster decisions — Clear authority means faster action. You’re not the bottleneck.
Better financing — Banks prefer organized businesses. You get better terms, higher limits, faster approvals.
Optionality — If something changes — health issue, opportunity, burnout — you have options. An owner-dependent business traps you.
The “always ready” mindset means:
- Financials are always clean
- Systems are always documented
- Team can always operate independently
- Value is always maximized
You’re not building a business to sell. You’re building a business that’s worth owning.